The Validity of Okun’s Law: An Assessment of United Kingdom’s Unemployment-Output Relationship
Keywords:
Okun’s law, Okun’s coefficients Unemployment, Output.Abstract
Forgone output resulting from unemployment is a real concern for many countries including the United Kingdom which manages to keep it unemployment rate at an average of 7% over the last 43 years. This paper provides an assessment of the unemployment-output relationship by examining the validity of okun’s law, using quarterly time series data from 1971- 2013. The empirical evidences show negative correlation, implying that Okun’s law interpretation is applicable to United Kingdom with economic growth rate of 1.8% required to keep unemployment constant. While the evolution of the unemployment rate is also influenced by other unforeseen variables like productivity, severe winter weather condition and the Diamond Jubilee in 2012.
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