Does Financial Development Promote Economic Growth in India?
Keywords:
Keywords, Financial development, economic growth, India, granger causality, unit root test.Abstract
The association between economic growth and financial development has been a wide-ranging subject of experiential research. The practical evidence suggests that there is a significant positive relationship between financial development and economic growth. However, these findings do not establish the direction of causality between the two. The question, therefore, is whether financial development causes economic growth or vice versa. In view of the above discussion, the article attempts to explore the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Indian context using granger causality test for the period, 1990-91 to 2010-11. The estimated results confirmed that financial development, measured by ratio of gross domestic capital formation to GDP , ratio of gross domestic savings to GDP, etc are non-stationary at the level data and at the first differences when using ADF test but attains stationary at first difference while using PP test. The Granger- causality test finally confirmed that financial development granger causes economic growth in India between time span of 1990-91 to 2010-11. Therefore, financial development in India has a stronger role in the growth process. The implication of the above is that India is in a better state of affairs as far as the growth potential is concerned by way of a more efficient financial system that is likely to evolve in the upcoming years to suit the changing global pursuit.
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